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US Witnesses the Advent of the Inevitable in Afghanistan.

Paper No. 6490              Dated 9-Sept-2019

By Dr Subhash Kapila

That the United States cannot consign Afghanistan to Taliban medieval Islamist feudalism finally and ironically dawned yesterday on the United States with US President Trump calling off the US-Taliban Peace Dialogue in motion for over a year. It marks the ‘Advent of the Inevitable’—that United States cannot abandon Afghanistan to yet another Civil War.

AFGHANISTAN-The Day After US’ Inglorious Exit 2020-Perspectives:

Paper No. 6579                  Dated  5-Aug-2019

By Dr Subhash Kapila

The United States perspectively seems headed for an inglorious military exit from Afghanistan prompted not by any significant military failures against Taliban but a military exit ordered by US President Trump for reasons politically expedient related to his bid for re-election as US President for a second term in 2010.

Afghanistan’s Future Cannot be secured by sidelining India:

Paper No. 6422            Dated    8-April-2019

By Dr Subhash Kapila

US Special Envoy on Afghanistan Zalmay Khalilzad skipping India as he cavorts across other regional capitals from Islamabad to Amman to broker a peace settlement with Taliban raises crucial questions whether it is the US deliberate policy to side-line India from Afghan peace process or is it the personal proclivity of Khalilzad reported to be tilted in Pakistan’s favour.

Afghanistan’s Future- Exclusive Preserve of Afghan People and not US-Taliban Agreement:

Paper No. 6489                       Dated 9-Feb-2019

By Dr Subhash Kapila

Afghanistan’s future and decisions thereto are exclusively the preserve of the will of the Afghan people and not within purview of the United States-Taliban Agreements as perceptionaly the Afghan people perceive both the United States and the Afghan Taliban in military occupation of Afghanistan. Major part of Afghanistan under so-called Taliban control is not by choice of Afghan people but by Taliban terror.

Afghanistan’s End-Game- Scenarios-Perspectives- Analysed

Paper No. 28       Dated 28-Jan-2018

By Dr Subhash Kapila

Afghanistan’s preferred end-scenario in positive terms of a ‘Stable and Secure Afghanistan’ not materialising after seventeen years of US military embedment arises mainly from United States reluctance to impose deterrent punitive measures on Pakistan Army for its proxy continuous and sustained disruptive activities against the elected Government of Afghanistan.

Indo-Pacific Security Endangered by United States’ Likely Exit From Afghanistan:

 Paper No. 6473                          Dated 30-Dec-2018

By Dr Subhash Kapila

Afghanistan’s geostrategic location and presence of US Forces embedded in Afghanistan provide a sheet anchor for Indo Pacific security on its Western Periphery. Indo Pacific Security template has comprehensively emerged as crucial for US security in 2018 prompting rechristening of US Pacific Command as US Indo Pacific Command.

Afghanistan as US Policy Conundrum-end 2018

Paper No. 6468                   Dated  9-Dec-2018

By Dr Subhash Kapila

Geopolitically in end-2018 the United States finds itself in a policy conundrum on Afghanistan primarily because of the inability of US policy planners to recognise that Afghanistan geographically flanked by Pakistan and Iran as Islamist Sates adversarial to United States complicates effective US embedment in Afghanistan for restoration of stability and security.

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