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Strategic Affairs & Security

details of strategic affairs and security

AFGHANISTAN-The Day After US’ Inglorious Exit 2020-Perspectives:

Paper No. 6579                  Dated  5-Aug-2019

By Dr Subhash Kapila

The United States perspectively seems headed for an inglorious military exit from Afghanistan prompted not by any significant military failures against Taliban but a military exit ordered by US President Trump for reasons politically expedient related to his bid for re-election as US President for a second term in 2010.

CHINA’S Military White Paper 2019- Perceptionally Analysed:

 Paper No. 6575                Dated  29- July-2019

By Dr Subhash Kapila

Perceptionally, the Chinese Military White Paper 2019 publicly released on July 24 needs to be viewed as a direct response to the United States generated geopolitical churning on China’s peripheries and putting United States on notice primarily, that China’s military capabilities are fast reaching the point where China can seriously engage United States in Superpower competition, if not confrontation.

US can Ill-afford to send Confusing Signals on South Asia to India in 2019

Paper No. 6572                   Dated      23-July-2019

By Dr Subhash Kapila

The United States in 2019 stands geopolitically and strategically challenged by China in Indo Pacific, Iran in the Middle East and Russia in Eastern Europe, Northern Tier of the Middle East and has a strategic nexus with China. The US can therefore ill-afford to send confusing signals to India in 2019 on sensitive issues like Kashmir when India is the only Asian Power with Major Power national attributes is friendly to United States.

PAKISTAN: PM Imran Khan’s Visit to US July 22, 2019 Aanalysed

Paper No. 6567                 Dated  17-July-2019

By Dr Subhash Kapila

US President Trump would be “welcoming” Pakistan PM Imran Khan for “official working visit” on July 2019 at the White House. How does one read President Trump’s invitation to Pakistan PM as only about a year ago he was severely castigating Pakistan for undermining US interests in Afghanistan? Intriguing question that arises contextually is whether this is an US ‘invitation’, or a US ‘summons’ to the Pakistan PM.

MIDDLE EAST 2019-Geo Politically Challenged -US’s Dilemmas:

   Paper No. 6560                      Dated 10-July-2019

By Dr Subhash Kapila

Middle East 2019 geopolitical landscape presents unprecedented dilemmas challenging the very fundamentals of US policy formulations. United States can ill-afford to ignore the predominance of non-Arab regional powers and prop alternative regional powers devoid of critically significant basic attributes of power.

Pakistan’s 2020 Perspectives Dismally suggest “Failed State” Syndrome:

Paper No. 6558                 Dated  2-July-2019

By Dr Subhash Kapila

Pakistan figured repetitively in the last two decades as a ‘Failed State’ mired in economic bankruptcy and dysfunctional political governance but was repeatedly bailed out committedly earlier by United States and now China with more economic colonisation impulses than commitment. On the verge of 2020, Pakistan once again is tottering on economic bankruptcy and likelihood of intensification of political turbulence.

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US-India Strategic Partnership 2019- Challenged by Unpredictabilities

Paper No. 6554                Dated 27-June-2019

By Dr Subhash Kapila

The US-India Strategic Partnership 20 years in making did not emerge as some divine revelation from the blues. It emerged from the shared China-centric strategic convergences that evolved between the United States and India across different political dispensations. Geopolitical imperatives in 2019, more forcefully point that both United States and India shed respective unpredictabilities that have emerged lately.

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