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Myanmar: Current Developments

Paper No. 6557     Dated 30- June- 2019

By Dr. S. Chandrasekharan.

The unilateral cease fire ordered by the Army ends today and there is as yet no sign whether the ceasefire will be further extended by the Army. 

For the first time, there were fewer incidents of fighting between Tatmadaw and the Arakan Army in June.  However an incident near Sittwe port and the destruction of construction materials of an Indian project for  Kaladan Bridge should be of concern to India. 

Pakistan’s Water Crisis: Blaming India will not do:

Paper No. 6556                 Dated    29- June-2019

By Dr. S.Chandrasekharan.

Nitin Gadkari, Minister dealing with River waters, said on May 9, 2019 that India will stop Pakistan’s share of water allocated under the Indus Water Treaty. He also mentioned that “India is not bound to follow the Treaty and had plans to divert the water flow to Punjab, Haryana and Rajasthan.  This statement was perhaps made during the election campaign more for the domestic audience.

US-India Strategic Partnership 2019- Challenged by Unpredictabilities

Paper No. 6554                Dated 27-June-2019

By Dr Subhash Kapila

The US-India Strategic Partnership 20 years in making did not emerge as some divine revelation from the blues. It emerged from the shared China-centric strategic convergences that evolved between the United States and India across different political dispensations. Geopolitical imperatives in 2019, more forcefully point that both United States and India shed respective unpredictabilities that have emerged lately.

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Global Power Play Churn and India’s Policy Options-2019.

Paper No. 6552             Dated  19-June-2019

By Dr Subhash Kapila

India’s foreign policy discourse and strategic analyses have this propensity to lapse into preferences for soft options like ‘Non-Alignment 2.0’ or “Strategic Autonomy’ whenever the geopolitical power play churning becomes challenging as visible in 2019. Both these strategic philosophies are redundant when India has yet to add military muscle to its national aspirational ambitions.

India’s Foreign Policy- Post May 23 2019- Three Scenarios:

Paper No. 6540            Dated 13-May-2019

By Dr Subhash Kapila

India’s geopolitical significance rose to unprecedented heights in global strategic calculus under the assertive foreign policy initiatives and formulations of Prime Minister Modi during period 2014-19 coupled with international recognition of India’s pragmatic economic foreign investor-friendly policies.

Indian Navy 2019- Formidable Imperatives of Indian Ocean Dominance:

Paper No. 6533                 Dated 29-April-2019

By Dr Subhash Kapila

The Indian Ocean in 2019 emerges as yet another arena of ‘Great Power Games’ in which intersect powerful maritime ambitions of China on one hand and India and the Western Powers on the other hand.  Implicit in ‘China Maritime Strategy 2015’ document articulating China’s global naval ambition is the centrality of Indian Ocean in China’s naval strategy.

Indian Army Downsizing -Strategically Imprudent:

Paper No. 6530                Dated 23-April-2019

By Dr Subhash Kapila

The Indian Republic to attain and sustain the status of a credible predominant military power in South Asia and to ascend the aspirational ladder of emerging as a Major Global Power needs a 2 million strong Indian Army. Any advocacy in political, strategic and military hierarchy circles to downsize the Indian Army from its present levels of 1.3 million is strategically imprudent and negates India’s national aspirations.

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