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Afganistan

Afghanistan - Can 1996 Repeat itself?

Paper No. 5687                                      Dated 22-Apr-2014

By Dr. S. Chandrasekharan

A paper produced by late B. Raman in 2013 on the consequences of US withdrawal from Afghanistan in end 2014 is reproduced below.  The points made by him including India’s options are still relevant.  The only change if any is that the Haqqani network has emerged stronger thanks to the total support given by ISI of Pakistan.  -- Director

Can 1996 Repeat itself in Afghanistan?

The Haqqani Group and India- the danger ahead.

Paper No. 5681                    Dated 4-Apr-2014

By Dr. S.Chandrasekharan

It is generally believed that the Haqqani group is a regional player in Afghanistan restricted to Loya Paktia provinces and Khost as well as the Northern Waziristan of Pakistan. This could have been the position till about five years ago, but it is not so today.

Can a Civil War in Afghanistan be Prevented?

Paper No. 5533                                       Dated 23-Jul-2013

By Bhaskar Roy

The clock on Afghanistan will not stop ticking to give extra time to the main stake holders to arrive at a reasonable conclusion.

AFGHANISTAN: Kerry-Kayani Secret Deal Stinks

Paper No. 5515                                          Dated 24-Jun-2013

By Dr Subhash Kapila

“Afghan Revelations: Pak-US Secret Diplomacy Created Doha Roadmap”---The Express Tribune, Pakistan. Headline, June 20 2013

Can 1996 Repeat itself in Afghanistan?

Paper No. 5459                          Dated 13-Apr-2013

By B.Raman

As the US troops prepare to thin themselves out of Afghanistan starting from next year, India has to worry whether 1996 can repeat itself in Afghanistan, when the Taliban, with the help of Pakistan’s Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI), captured power from the Afghan Mujahideen in Kabul and enforced its rule.

Intelligence Professional’s Perspective on India’s Strategic Environment: Pakistan and Afghanistan

 

Paper No. 5421                                                      Dated 11-Mar-2013

By A. K. Verma

(This is a summary of a presentation made by the author at the Institute of Defence Studies, Delhi on 8th of March, 2013.)

I must compliment the Institute of Defence Studies and Analysis for this exercise. It displays a recognition that intelligence analysis plays a vital role in identifying strategic interests and suggesting options to deal with them.

Pakistan Army’s Graveyard of Imperial Pretensions-Afghanistan

Paper No. 5409                                           Dated 26-Feb-2013

By Dr. Subhash Kapila

The projected drawback of United States and NATO Forces in 2014 has once again rekindled Pakistan Army’s imperial pretensions over Afghanistan. Post-2014 scenarios being discussed in the strategic community paint dismal scenarios of Afghanistan re-emerging as a global and regional hotspot with destabilising spill-over effects all around.

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