By B. Raman
"The discourse on our
24-hour news channels is even more
predictable. The usual suspects are rounded
up to provide insight and corrective action.
Experts like B. Raman, Ajit Doval and Julio
Ribeiro, alas, provide no cure. Police
reform always gets roped into the discussion
and we are reminded of Supreme Court orders
which have been studiously ignored. There is
an element of farce in the whole exercise.
When the next terrorist outrage happens, as
it will, we will go over the rigmarole once
more. I don’t have any solutions to a very
complex problem but I do know that the
present strategy is a total failure. Let me
correct that because I believe no one in the
country understands or is aware that a
strategy exists—except to condemn terrorism
and terrorists. As the Indian Mujahideen in
their e-mail boasted: they can strike
anywhere, anytime."
Extract from the "Delhi
Diary" of Shri Vinod Mehta, Editor,
"Outlook" available at
http://www.outlookindia.com/diary.asp?fodname=20081006
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Dear Shri Vinod Mehta,
I read with interest
your above-quoted observations in the issue
of "Outlook" dated October 6, 2008. A major
problem one faces in India in promoting an
adequate understanding of the problem of
terrorism is that most of us have little
time or patience for facts and figures and
for details. We have our idees fixes and
come to conclusions, which are often
superficial, on the basis of such idees
fixes. That is one of the reasons for the
image of helplessness in dealing with
terrorism which we project of ourselves to
our own people and to the rest of the world.
2. Our record in
dealing with terrorism and insurgency is not
as negative as it is often projected to be.
We have had a successful record in Punjab,
Nagaland (partial), Mizoram, Tripura and in
Tamil Nadu in dealing with terrorism of Al
Umma. Even in Jammu & Kashmir, the ground
situation was showing signs of definite
improvement till the recent avoidable
controversy over facilities for the Amarnath
pilgrims.
3. There are two kinds
of terrorism/insurgency where our record has
been poor till now---- the jihadi kind,
which is essentially an urban phenomenon
outside J&K, and the Maoist (Naxalite) kind,
which is essentially a rural phenomenon. If
one compares these two kinds of terrorism
with the instances where we were not without
success, one would find a striking
difference. We have succeeded where the
terrorism or insurgency was a regional
phenomenon and was confined to a narrow
area. We have not succeeded where the threat
was pan-Indian in nature with the network
extending its presence to many States in the
North and the South.
4. A pan-Indian threat
requires a co-ordinated pan-Indian response
at the political and professional levels.
Unfortunastely, we do not have it. The
multiplicity of political parties, the era
of coalition and the tendency in our country
to over-politicise the problem of terrorism
come in the way of a pan-Indian political
response. The tendency of the intelligence
agencies and the police of different States
to keep each other in the dark about what
they know and not to admit to each other as
to what they do not know come in the way of
a pan-Indian professional response.
5. There has been a
plethora of reports and recommendations on
the need for better sharing and
co-ordination, but without any effect on our
agencies and the police. I was talking to a
recently-retired Police chief on the present
state of co-ordination and sharing. He
admitted that there has been no noticeable
improvement. He added:" The agencies and the
police show a greater readiness to share
their information with Praveen Swami, the
journalist of "The Hindu", than with each
other. We all wait for his columns in "The
Hindu" to know what information other
agencies and the police of other States
have."
6. The agencies and the
Police are largely responsible for the
absence of a co-ordinated professional
response, but the political leadership at
the Centre and in different States cannot
escape their share of responsibility. A
determined political leader, who has the
national interests in mind, can use a whip
and make the agencies and the police
co-operate. We saw it in the case of Indira
Gandhi, Rajiv Gandhi and Narasimha Rao at
the Centre and Beant Singh, former Chief
Minister, in the case of Punjab, and Sharad
Pawar in the case of Maharashtra. A
political leader whose policies and actions
are motivated by partisan and not national
interests will come in the way of
professional co-operation. We saw it in the
case of Mulayam Singh Yadav and Mayawati in
Uttar Pradesh.
7. Any cure to the
problem of jihadi and Maoist terrorism has
to start at the political level. A political
leader has to play a dual role. He has to
help the professionals in taking firm action
against the terrorists---whatever be their
community and ideology.He has to give them
whatever tools they need. At the same time,
he has to identify the circumstances and
perceptions which drive young Muslims to
take to jihadi terrorism and young tribals
to take to Maoist terrorism. Anger is one of
the common root causes of all terrorism.
Unless this anger is addressed, professional
handling of the threat alone, however
effective, cannot bring about an enduring
end to this threat.
8. An effective
political handling has to start with a
detailed analysis of the causes of anger and
action to deal with them. Our young Muslims,
who are taking to jihadi terrorism, are not
bothered by issues such as lack of education
and unemployment, reservation for Muslims
etc. They are angry at what they consider to
be the unfairness to the Muslims, which,
according to them, is widely prevalent in
India. They are angry with the Bharatiya
Janata Party (BJP) for destroying the Babri
Masjid and with the Congress (I) for not
preventing it. They are angry with both for
not implementing the Sri Krishna Commission
report on alleged excesses commited by the
Mumbai Police in dealing with the riots by
some Muslims after the Babri Masjid
demolition. They are angry with the BJP for
what happened in Gujarat in 2002. They are
angry with both the BJP and the Congress (I)
for their studied silence on the alleged
violations of the human rights of their
co-religionists in Afghanistan and Iraq.
They are angry with our political
class----particularly the BJP and the
Congress (I)--- for not uttering one word of
criticism about the special detention
centres for Muslim suspects set up by the US
in Guantanamo Bay in Cuba and in Bagram in
Afghanistan. Even Tony Blair, who was widely
perceived as an American poodle, criticised
the Guantanamo Bay detention centre through
a statement by his Attorney-General in 2006
before he left office, but none of our
leaders has uttered a word on this subject.
Manmohan Singh claims himself to be secular
at home, but he profusely praises President
George Bush, who is strongly disliked by
large sections of the Muslims of the world.
His unfortunate statement that the people of
India like Bush is not shared by the 160
million Muslims of India and many others.
9. Unsatisfactory
political handling of the Muslim youth by
all political parties is an aggravating
cause of the threat from jihadi terrorism.
The political class is not prepared to mend
its ways and play its role in dealing with
this problem. How can they expect the
professional class to produce a miracle
cure?
10. Similarly, it is
the absence of meaningful land reforms and
perceptions of suppression of the tribals by
the so-called upper caste Hindus, which is
an important cause of the tribal anger in
Central India. It is the responsibility of
the political class and the society as a
whole to address this. They do not do so and
keep nursing an illusion that more and more
money, men and equipment for the agencies
and the police will end this problem. It
won't.
11. The way we kick
around the problem of terrorism like a
football blaming everybodyelse except
ourselves can be seen in the TV debates and
media columns. The same arguments are
repeated without worrying over their
validity. The Congress (I) and the analysts
supporting it ridicule the BJPs demand for
the revival of the Prevention of Terrorism
Act (POTA) by pointing out that despite the
introduction of the POTA by the BJP-led
Government, major acts of terrorism took
place during its tenure. The BJP attributes
the increase in jihadi terrorism since the
present Government assumed office in 2004 to
its abolition of the POTA.
12. Both the arguments
are partly correct and partly wrong. Yes, it
is correct that despite the POTA major
terrorist strikes took place during the BJP
regime. So too, in Western countries,
despite special powers given to the agencies
and the police major incidents of terrorism
took place. The Madrid blasts of March,
2004, the London blasts of July, 2005, and
the Glasgow incident of June 2007, took
place after special powers were given.
Nobody in the West uses these incidents as
an argument against special powers.
13. Similarly, an
increase in attacks on soft targets has been
faced by many countries of the world after
the Bali explosion of October, 2002. So too
India. This is due to the tightening of
physical security for hard targets after
9/11. The new focus of the jihadi terrorists
on soft targets has meant more terrorist
strikes and more casualties. The undoubted
fact that casualties due to jihadi terrorism
have more than doubled since the Manmohan
Singh Government came to power cannot be
solely attributed to its abolition of the
POTA.
14. Effective
intelligence and physical security and a
modern legal architecture are the three
essential components of any
counter-terrorism strategy. Intelligence and
physical security help in preventing acts of
terrorism. Successful investigation and
prosecution deter the flow of new recruits
to terrorist organisations.If only we had a
federal agency solely for the investigation
and prosecution of terrorism cases, we will
not be facing the kind of messy situation we
are facing today---- with the Gujarat police
under a BJP Government giving one version of
the so-called Indian Mujahideen (IM) and the
Police in Congress (I) ruled Delhi and
Maharashtra giving a different version.
15. Flow of human
intelligence about jihadi terrorism is weak
because of the post-9/11 phenomenon of
global Islamic solidarity and the
adversarial relationship between the
agencies and the police on the one side and
the Muslim community on the other. Feelings
of Islamic solidarity prevent even
law-abiding Muslims from volunteering to the
agencies and the police information about
their co-religionists, who have taken to
terrorism and from assisting the police in
their investigation. The adversarial
relationship has resulted in mutual
demonisation. How to come out of this
syndrome is a matter for serious
consideration not only by the police and the
agencies, but also by the political class
and the civil society, including the media.
16. Once we allow
terrorism and insurgencies of different
kinds to make their appearance in our
society it takes a long time to deal with
them. We took 19 years to deal with the Naga
insurgency, another 19 years to deal with
the Mizo insurgency, 14 years to deal with
Khalistani terrorism and about 10 years to
deal with Al Umma. The French took 19 years
to deal with the terrorism of Carlos and his
group. Even after 41 years of vigorous
implementation of a no-holds-barred
counter-terrorism strategy, Israel is still
grappling with the terrorism of the
Palestinians and the Hezbollah. The British
took over 20 years to bring the Irish
Republican Army under control.
17. The jihadi
terrorism in the Indian territory outside
J&K is a post-Babri Masjid demolition
phenomenon. This has been rendered more
difficult to handle by the post-9/11
emergence of the concept of a global jihad.
Our jihadi terrorism is still only a
pan-Indian phenomenon, but it has not yet
become a part of the global jihadi
phenomenon. Preventing it from happening is
the responsibility of the political
leadership and containing and rooting it out
is the responsibility of the professional
class. The two have to work together, with
understanding and support from the civil
society. The attitude of our political class
to terrorism is ambivalent. On the one hand,
it is worried---rightly---over this growing
threat. On the other, it continues to view
this as a vote-catcher. Every political
party has been firm in demanding action
against terrorism when it is out of power.
It becomes soft when it comes to power. That
is the bane of our counter-terrorism. Only
voter pressure can force the political class
to stop exploiting terrorism as an electoral
weapon and to start dealing with it as a
major threat to national security, which
should unite the political class and the
civil society.
(The
writer is Additional Secretary (retd),
Cabinet Secretariat, Govt. of India, New
Delhi, and, presently, Director, Institute
For Topical Studies, Chennai. E-mail: